华北电力大学 教学平台-试译宝

来自 : www.shiyibao.com/ncepu/transNe 发布时间：2021-03-25

World may see peak of petrol, diesel demand by 2035 but not India: Petroleum ministry official石油部官员称，2035年全球汽油、柴油需求可能达到顶峰，但不包括印度 The world is likely to see peak demand for petrol by the late 2020s and for diesel by 2035, but auto fuels will continue to see growth in India as the economy expands, a senior petroleum ministry official said Thursday.印度一位石油部的一位高级官员于周四表示，全球石油需求量将在21世纪20年末代达到峰值，而柴油将在2035年达到峰值，但随着印度经济的增长，汽车燃料在印度的需求量仍将持续攀升。 Speaking at the India Chem 2021 conference, Sunil Kumar, Joint Secretary (Refinery), Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, said the country will see different energy systems co-exist through the next few decades as demand is expected to remain robust.印度石油和天然气部联合秘书（炼油厂）库马尔在 2021印度化学 会议上讲道，未来几十年，印度将看到不同的能源系统共存，预计需求将保持强劲。 Fuel demand in years to come will be impacted by factors such as the availability of substitute fuels, the advent of electric vehicles (EVs) and the development of renewable fuels.在未来的几年里，燃料需求将会受到多种因素的影响，例如获取可替代燃料、电动汽车的问问世，以及可再生燃料的发展。 Globally, demand for gasoline (petrol) is expected to peak in the late 2020s and of diesel by 2035, he said.他说： 全球汽油需求量有望在2020年达到峰值，柴油需求量在2035年达到峰值。 However, in India, different energy systems, including fossil fuel, will co-exist over the next few decades.然而，在印度，包括化石燃料在内的不同能源系统将在未来几十年内共存。 Demand for petrol and diesel in India is expected to remain robust in the foreseeable future... at least up to 2040 because our pie is increasing, he said. India s demand for petrol and diesel will continue to rise despite new sources. 预计在可预见的未来，印度的汽油和柴油需求将保持强劲，至少到2040年，因为我们的蛋糕在增加， 他说。 尽管有新的来源，印度对汽油和柴油的需求仍将继续上升。 The time till the demand peaks can be used by the country and the oil industry to prepare for future where crude oil can be converted directly into chemicals instead of the current practice of first it getting turned into fuel.国家和石油工业可以利用需求高峰之前的时间，为将来原油可以直接转化为化学品做准备，而不是像现在那样先转化为燃料。 Refining and petrochemicals have to have a synergy by sharing of streams and there is a lot of thinking and planning in this regard, he said. Changing market dynamics clearly indicate that integration of refining and petrochemicals is more of a necessity than a choice and is needed for improving margins and remaining competitive.他说： 炼油和石化必须通过共享物流实现协同增效，在这方面有很多想法和计划。 不断变化的市场动态清楚地表明，炼油和石化一体化更多地是一种必要性，而不是一种选择 ，是提高利润率和保持竞争力所必需的。 The International Energy Agency (IEA), he said, sees the biggest growth coming from petrochemical feedstock such as ethane, LPG, naphtha, and jet fuel. It is estimated these products will account for around 90 per cent of the net increase in total oil product demand through 2040. This contrasts trends from 2000 when gasoline and diesel provided for two-third of growth in oil product. 他表示，国际能源署(IEA)认为最大的增长来自石化原料，如乙烷，液化石油气，石脑油和喷气燃料。 据估计，到2040年，这些产品将占石油产品总需求净增量的90%左右。这与2000年的趋势形成鲜明对比，当时汽油和柴油提供了石油产品增长的三分之二。 Global petrochemical is growing at nearly 4 per cent per year, he said.他表示，全球石化行业正以每年近4%的速度增长。 But, India is 40 per cent import-dependent on meeting its chemical needs.但是，印度40%的化学品需要依赖进口。 India spent Rs 94,000 crore on the import of 35 petrochemicals alone in 2019-20. This is when our per capita consumption is only 12 kg against the world average of 37 kg, he said, adding as the standard of living rises, the demand for chemicals and petrochemicals will continue to grow.在2019-2020年，印度仅在35种石化产品的进口上就花费了9.4万卢比。他说： 在这个时候，我们的人均消费量只有12公斤，而世界平均水平是37公斤。 他补充说，随着生活水平的提高，人们对化学品和石化产品的需求将继续增长。 And it is assumed as a thumb rule that consumption of petrochemical products grows at 1.5 times that of the growth of India s GDP, he said. It is believed that India needs a cracker (to produce petrochemicals) every year in the foreseeable future for at least 10 years. 他说： 根据经验推断，印度石油化工产品的消费增长率是其GDP增长率的1.5倍。 人们认为，在未来，至少是可预见的十年里，印度每年都需要一台裂解炉（用于生产石化产品）。 Kumar said India s oil refining capacity will rise from 249 million tonnes per annum now to 300 million tonnes by 2024-25 and 443 million tonnes by 2030.库马尔说，印度的炼油生产量将从现在的每年2.49亿吨增加到2024-25年的3亿吨和2030年的4.43亿吨。 Oil demand is expected to grow from 4.4 to 8.7 million barrels per day ie 435 million tonnes per annum. Part of this requirement will also come from the production of petrochemicals as newer refineries are built with higher integration with petrochemicals, he said.他表示： 石油需求量预计将从每天440万桶增长至870万桶，即每年4.35亿吨。这一需求的一部分还将来自石化产品的生产，因为新建的炼油厂与石化产品的整合程度更高。 The petrochemical intensity of the Indian refining industry is expected to increase from 3.5 per cent to 7 per cent by 2030 as all new refineries and expansion are planning to have 15-20 per cent of petrochemical exposure, he said.他表示，到2030年，印度炼油业的石化强度预计将从3.5%提高到7%，因为所有新建和扩建的炼油厂都计划拥有15%至20%的石化产品。 India dependent on imports for a variety of specialised petrochemical products. Production of such niche petrochemicals need to be encouraged through fiscal incentives, he said. So, in order to become Aatmanirbhar in petrochemical, we need to develop large scale infrastructure for import of alternate feedstock like ethane, LNG, condensate etc to augment available of feedstock. 他表示： 印度的多种专业石化产品均依赖进口。需要通过财政激励措施鼓励此类利基石化产品的生产。 因此，为了成为石化行业的巨头，我们需要为进口替代原料建设大规模基础设施，如乙烷，液化天然气，凝析油等，以增加原料的可利用性。 查看更多我要分享